Demographic Transition and the Reconfiguration of Human Capital: Toward a Theory of Global Talent Redistribution
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.66203/econovia.01106Keywords:
demographic transition, global talent mobility, human capital redistribution, global talent management, labor supply imbalance, global workforce dynamicsAbstract
Global demographic structures are undergoing profound transformation as declining fertility, population aging, and uneven population growth reshape the distribution of labor and human capital across economies. While existing research addresses demographic change, migration, and global talent management, these perspectives remain theoretically fragmented and offer limited explanation of how demographic transition systematically reconfigures the global allocation of skilled labor. This article develops a conceptual framework explaining how demographic transition drives the redistribution of human capital through global talent mobility. Drawing on demographic transition theory, human capital theory, and global talent management literature, the study introduces the Global Talent Redistribution Framework, which conceptualizes demographic change as a structural source of labor market imbalances. These imbalances stimulate cross-border talent mobility through migration, organizational mobility, and digitally mediated global work. Through these mechanisms, demographic transformation reshapes the spatial distribution of skills and knowledge across economies. By integrating demographic structures with talent mobility and human capital allocation, the framework advances theoretical understanding of global workforce dynamics and provides a foundation for future empirical research on the evolving geography of global talent.
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